{"id":85768,"date":"2024-02-10T10:03:38","date_gmt":"2024-02-10T08:03:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radioislam.org.za\/a\/?p=85768"},"modified":"2024-02-10T10:03:38","modified_gmt":"2024-02-10T08:03:38","slug":"new-ipsos-poll-anc-plummets-to-40-eff-challenging-da-to-be-the-official-opposition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radioislam.org.za\/a\/new-ipsos-poll-anc-plummets-to-40-eff-challenging-da-to-be-the-official-opposition\/","title":{"rendered":"New Ipsos poll: ANC plummets to 40%, EFF challenging DA to be the official opposition"},"content":{"rendered":"

Neelam Rahim | neelam@radioislam.co.za<\/a><\/p>\n

2-minute read
\n10 February 2024 | 10:01 CAT<\/p>\n

\"\"

ANC’s Popularity Plummets to 40%: Ipsos Poll Reflects Shifting Political Landscape in South Africa<\/p><\/div>\n

The latest polls from research organisations IPSOS indicate that the ANC will not only see a drop to less than 40% but that the EFF and DA are neck-and-neck in the race to be the country’s official opposition. According to IPSOS, voter turnout will be an all-important and pivotal fact.<\/p>\n

According to the Ipsos survey, ANC support is at 38.5%, DA 18.6%, EFF 17.3%, IFP 3.6%, Action SA 3.4%, ACDP 0.9%, FF+ 0.8% and other parties 6.8%.<\/p>\n

About 3.6% of surveyed people said they would not vote; 3.8% refused to answer; 2.7% said they were uncertain.<\/p>\n

Ipsos also noted that a lower voter turnout could benefit the ANC, increasing its support to 50%. “This scenario relies on variable voter turnout across metropolitan and rural areas. A higher turnout in rural areas would favour the ANC, given its predominantly rural support base,” the study read.<\/p>\n

Radio Islam International underscores the research with Political Analyst Marri Harris.<\/p>\n

“If the voter turnout is on the high side, ANC will do a little better than 40\/ but, if the turnout is very low the ANC will do better and get a bigger portion of the vote share. This is because the ANC has a lot of votes coming from the rural areas,” says Harris.<\/p>\n

When Ipsos “reworked” the numbers, and included those who said they would not vote, did not know, or refused to answer, the ANC polled 40.5% of support, the DA 20.5% and the EFF 19.6%.<\/p>\n

“The pivotal factor in this election hinges on voter turnout on the election day. Several analyses indicate that anticipating a high voter turnout may not be realistic, largely attributed to widespread despondency regarding the country’s situation and low levels of trust in politicians and political parties,” Ipsos states.<\/p>\n

Ipsos conducted face-to-face interviews with 3,600 people from 23 October 2023 to 1 December 2023.<\/p>\n

Listen to the full interview on The Daily Round-Up<\/a> with Moulana Ibrahim Daya.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Neelam Rahim | neelam@radioislam.co.za 2-minute read 10 February 2024 | 10:01 CAT The latest polls from research organisations IPSOS indicate that the ANC will not only see a drop to less than 40% but that the EFF and DA are neck-and-neck in the race to be the country’s official opposition. According to IPSOS, voter turnout […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":85769,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[28,4995],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-85768","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-news","category-south-africa"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/radioislam.org.za\/a\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/4083fa68962fbf27da8e6d899d6dba1a13cad524cf09270e90e6f5d7646dc1dd.jpg?fit=300%2C200&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pc0QIf-mjm","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"publishpress_future_action":{"enabled":false,"date":"2026-04-16 09:52:47","action":"change-status","newStatus":"draft","terms":[],"taxonomy":"category","extraData":[]},"publishpress_future_workflow_manual_trigger":{"enabledWorkflows":[]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/radioislam.org.za\/a\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85768","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/radioislam.org.za\/a\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/radioislam.org.za\/a\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radioislam.org.za\/a\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radioislam.org.za\/a\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85768"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/radioislam.org.za\/a\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85768\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radioislam.org.za\/a\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/85769"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/radioislam.org.za\/a\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85768"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radioislam.org.za\/a\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85768"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radioislam.org.za\/a\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85768"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}